Workshop on Mathematical Modeling

of Infectious Disease Epidemiology 

May 31-June 2, 2006

 National Center for Theoretical Sciences (NCTS), Taiwan

　

Since the outbreak of SARS, the mathematical modeling of Epidemics receives much attention from the governments of many countries. Especially now the Bird Flu has potential to outbreak in Asia. The purpose of the workshop is to promote the application of Mathematical Modeling in Epidemics to the real world.

A one-day Conference on Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Disease, co-organized with CDC of Taiwan, will be held on June 2 in Taipei.

　

     Confirmed Invited Speakers:

    Fred Brauer (British Columbia, Canada)

   John Glasser (CDC USA)

   Stefan Ma (Ministry of Health of Singapore)

   Zhien Ma (Xian Jiao Tong University)

   Babak Pourbohloul (BC CDC)

   Steven Riley (Hong Kong University)

   Jianhong Wu (York University, Canada)

   Ping Yan (Public Health Agency of Canada)

 **More invited speakers to be confirmed. 

  

　

Tentative Schedule: 

Wednesday, May 31
9.00-	Registration
9.15-9.30	Welcome Speech, By Jing Yu (Head of Mathematics Division, NCTS)
Session Chairman: Sze-Bi Hsu (National Tsing Hua University)
9.30-10.30	Invited Talk: Fred Brauer (University of British Columbia)  Simple pandemic models
10.30-11.00	Tea Break
11.00-12.00	Invited Talk: Jianhong Wu (York University) Modeling Spatiotemporal Spread Patterns of Vector-Born Diseases: Interaction of Individual Structure, Spatial Movements, Disease Progression and Human Intervention
12.00-13.30	Lunch
Session Chairman: Chih-Wen Shih (National Chiao Tung University)
13.30-14.30	Invited Talk: Zhien Ma (Xian Jiao Tong University) Qualitative Analysis on Some Epidemic Models With Vaccinations
14.30-15.30	Invited Talk: Sze-Bi Hsu (National Tsing Hua University)   Mathematical Model of Flu with Asymptomatic Infection
15.30-15.50	Tea Break
Session Chairman: Jianhong Wu (York University, Toronto)
15.50-16.50	Invited Talk: Ping Yan (Public Health Agency of Canada ) Some Probability Distributions and Underlying Stochastic Mechansims in Infectious Disease Transmission Modelling
16.50-17.20	Contributed Talk: Paul Georgescu (Technical University of Iasi) Global Stability for a Virus Dynamics Model with Nonlinear Incidence of Infection and Removal
Thursday, June-1
Session Chairman: Ying-Hen Hsieh (National Chung Hsing University)
9.00-10.00	Invited Talk: John Glasser (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)   Evaluation of hypothetical mechanisms for the changing epidemiology of pertussis throughout  the developed world by analysis of natural  experiments in Sweden
10.00-10.30	Tea Break
10.30-11.30	Invited Talk: Stefan Ma (Epidemiology & Disease Control, Singapore Ministry of Health) Modelling Influenza-associated Mortality Using Time-series Regression Approach
11.30-13.30	Lunch
Session Chairman: John Glasser (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)
13.30-14.30	Invited Talk: Steven Riley (Hong Kong University) Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in Great Britain
14.30-15.30	Invited Talk: Ying-Hen Hsieh (National Chung Hsing University)   Impact of Travel between Patches for Spatial Spread of Disease
15.30-15.50	Tea Break
Session Chairman: Steve Riley (Hong Kong University)
15.50-16.50	Invited Talk: Babak Pourbohloul (British Columbia Centre for Disease Control) Contact Network Epidemiology: Understanding & Controlling Disease Outbreaks

　

　

　

Sponsor:

               

　

　

　

　

　

Registration:   (Deadline 01, May, 2006 for Hsin-chu Workshop)

　

　

　

Organizers:

     Sze-Bi Hsu (National Tsing-Hua University)

        e-mail: sbhsu@math.nthu.eud.tw

     Ying-Hen Hsieh   (National Chung-Hsing University)

        e-mail: hsieh@math.nchu.edu.tw

　

*Invited talk is 1-hour & Contributed talk is 30-minute.

　

☼If you plan to participate the workshop or would like to give a 30-minute contributed talk,

      please contact us for details: Ms. Vickey Sun, e-mail: math@math.cts.nthu.edu.tw

      **Submission of contributed talks will be accepted until the end of March, 2006.

　

Practical Information

☺Location : NCTS, located in National Tsing-Hua University, Hsinchu, Taiwan. Hsinchu is about one hour by bus from Taipei, the capital of     Taiwan. 

☺Accommodation: Please inform secretary Ms. Wendy Huang by email at math@math.cts.nthu.edu.tw the number of family members accompanying you to the workshop at your earliest convenience. We shall arrange your stay.

　

☺Airport pickup: We will arrange for transportation by car between C.K.S. International Airport in Taipei and NCTS or the Hotel where you stay . It is therefore important for you to give us your arrival/departure times and flight numbers to Ms. Wendy Huang (see above for the e-mail address) as soon as they are available.

☺Title and Abstract: If you are giving a talk, please email your title and abstract to secretary Ms. Vickey Sun at math@math.cts.nthu.edu.tw while they are ready. 

☺Visa: Most visitors could get landing visa or visa exemption for 30 days. For general information, see visa-info. 

☺Weather: Weather at the time (in May) in Taiwan is usually warm with temperature around 30C° or 86F°. For more information about weather in Taiwan, visit Central Weather Bureau.

☺Tourism: The link to Tourism Bureau (Taiwan) contains maps, travel tips, attractions, etc... .